Now that there is an ongoing electoral contest in Gujarat, what does this tell us about our politics? This is despite the fact that Aam Aadmi Party is also entering the fray as a new player. Some feel that the BJP will win easily, especially considering that the opposition vote will be split between the Congress and the AAP. It can be understood from the indifferent attitude of the Congress that the party does not want to throw all the arrows in its quiver and go to Gujarat, where it is seeing the situation getting heavy on itself. Instead, she prefers to save her weapons for larger battles. And the BJP, which never takes any election lightly, has been pouring energy into campaigning as usual, which was visible in 2017 when the Congress uprooted it as soon as it entered a close contest.

Even if she does, what is going to happen? What will happen if the Congress takes about three? The Kais 3 vote share has remained stable and sizeable (above 30%), even after Modi swept all the seats in the state in the 2014 and 2019 general elections, sweeping the Congress. In 2017, the Congress trailed the BJP by 20 seats, but had a vote share of 41.4%.

threat of a new rival

The BJP in Gujarat is embroiled in a strange paradoxical situation. On the one hand, it wants that any vote that the Aam Aadmi Party gets should be from the Congress only. At the same time, it also does not want that the Aam Aadmi Party should Then what is the story? Rahul Gandhi's Padyatra did not yield much benefit from this constituency. Because while a collapsing rival is a boon for him, the emergence of a new rival is nothing less than a great danger.

Don't see Bessie distraction

BJP's effort is to

Throw away

The BJP is now fully convinced that the decline of the Congress, which has been going on for the last decade, is no longer a threat. By the way, even if the Congress disappears from the scene, as happened in Delhi, Odisha and Bengal, nor did it happen, even 1 of its loyal votes usually does not go to the BJP's account. He always finds other places. For example, Mamta's TMC, Patnaik's BJD or Kejriwal's 'AAP', as happened in Delhi and Punjab. If AAP gets more than 15% votes in Gujarat

after which someone special

Congress gave a tough fight to Rahul Gandhi in the elections. Is part of. What does the party think? The savvy would argue that instead of fighting Modi and losing, Rahul is an exercise in the larger challenge for 2024 with a clear ideological binary. The Rahal camp may sound good, but there is no doubt that the cycle of politics is cruel. It doesn't give you any time to heal. And when your rivals are doing 'Khanti politics' like Modi and Kejriwal, then any pause will mean that you have accepted defeat. One cannot take a gap year of big comeback in 2024. One

Passing as well as Pata Share will definitely be a strategy to fortify yourself for battles. Although in Telangana, the distraction of Congress leaders challenging KCR may hurt Congress votes. People of BJP believe that after the victory of 2017, its effect was also visible in the emotional address given to Modi. Today that kind of tension is missing. Congress not being concerned with urgency is a complicated issue. The answer you get depends on who you are talking to in Congress. One will find some zealots who claim that there is an anti-incumbency wave in both Himachal and Gujarat and that even without making any special efforts, the BJP's defeat is certain, especially in Himachal. At the same time, there are those close to Rahul Gandhi who, if you look at him, are realistic and sensible. He has concluded that it is better for the BJP if the electoral contest is Modi versus Rahul. That's why Rahul has removed himself from the way for the time being. This is a well thought out strategy. However, this does not mean that the party has put its ambition on hold. but it's the future

The fight happening now has always been between the Congress and the BJP. In one of these, AAP is eyeing only Congress votes. This will set the tone for the next 13 months, where the Congress and the BJP will be pitted against each other in state after state. next election in karnataka